Money Understand Your Finances

How Much Money Should You Expect to Make in the Stock Market?

By JONATHAN AND DAVID MURRAY WITH MAX ALEXANDER
If you were to go all the way back to 1928 and dissect the S&P 500 into rolling twenty-year periods, there would be fifty-nine of them (1928-1947, 1929-1948, etc.). The average annual rate of return over those periods was approximately 12 percent. At that rate, your money doubles every six years. (Remember the “rule of seventy-two” from Economics 101, which teaches that a rate of return divided into seventy-two reveals how many years it will take for your money to double.) Over that “median” twenty-year period, a $100,000 investment grew to $948,542! The best twenty-year period occurred from 1980-1999, when investors earned an eye-popping 17.83 percent per year on their money. During that fortuitous twenty-year span, your $100,000 investment (including dividends reinvested)


Source: Thomson Financial

grew to a whopping $2,660,912. No wonder investor Warren Buffett once said the best time to sell stock is never.

The worst twenty-year period for stocks occurred from 1929 to 1948 -- no surprise as it included the Crash of '29, the Great Depression, and World War II. Average annual return during that period was 3.09 percent. ($100,000 grew to $183,000.) Here's an overview of the results from those periods:


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Two for the Money by Jonathn and David Murray

'Two for the Money' is an informative and humurous look at the financial realities that face the baby boomers and generations x, y and z.

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    • Two twenty-year periods doubled your money.
    • Five tripled it, seven quadrupled it, and two quintupled it.
    • In two periods, your $100,000 grew to more than$600,000.
    • In two more, it grew to more than $700,000.
    • Five periods saw growth to more than $800,000, and five grew to more than $900,000.
    • In twenty-eight of the rolling twenty-year periods (47 percent of the time), $100,000 grew to more than $1 million: a tenfold increase in twenty years. And in four of those periods, you'd have more than $2 million.
    • In none of the twenty-year periods would you have lost money.


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    The foregoing is excerpted from 'Two for the Money: The Sensible Plan for Making it All Work' by Jonathan and David Murray with Max Alexander (Avalon Publishing Group; May 2006)

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